Bass Diffusion Model

Forecast Product Adoption with Precision

Predict Your Product's Growth Trajectory

The Bass Diffusion Model has been the gold standard for forecasting new product adoption since 1969. Know exactly when your product will hit peak sales and market saturation.

Peak Timing When sales peak
Growth Curves S-curve forecasts
Market Size Total potential
Saturation 90% adoption time
F(t) = [1 - e^-(p+q)t] / [1 + (q/p)e^-(p+q)t]
0 50% 100% Y1 Y5 Y10 Y15 Peak Sales Cumulative Adoption Rate

โšก How It Works

โš™๏ธ

Set Parameters

p, q, market size

โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š

Run Model

Instant forecast

โ†’
๐ŸŽฏ

Plan

Strategic insights

Used to forecast 200+ product categories

From smartphones to pharmaceuticals

๐Ÿ“ฆ What You Get

โœ“ Interactive Web Tool โœ“ Comprehensive Manual โœ“ Industry Benchmarks โœ“ Export to CSV/PNG

๐Ÿข Applications

New Product Launch Demand Planning Market Entry Technology Adoption Investment Analysis

Ready to Forecast Your Product's Future?

Dr. Koray Cosguner

Founder & Principal Consultant
Associate Professor of Marketing

miaow.consulting@gmail.com

Kelley School of Business
#1 Online MBA ยท #4 UG Marketing (U.S. News)
Request Demo